2015 Box Office Forecast

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This page will list my estimates for each film domestically for the calendar year of 2015. As new developments for films are made, or when new films have secured release dates, expect the below to fluctuate a lot, so check back regularly for the latest prediction (Most importantly when their theater counts are released). All the films below will be covered once again in the site’s weekly, monthly and seasonal box office forecast. The below will be according to release dates. The final updated figures will be here after the site’s weekly box office forecasts are in. Please note- the lesser information there is about the below movies (especially those releasing on a later date), the more inaccurate the box office forecast gets.

LATEST UPDATES:

DECEMBER 30 2015- UPDATED BOX OFFICE STATS
November 30 2015- UPDATED BOX OFFICE STATS, CHANGED PREDICTIONS FOR KRAMPUS, IN THE HEART OF THE SEA AND ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: ROAD CHIP
November 8 2015- UPDATED BOX OFFICE STATS

Before beginning, here’s our current top 10 figures for both domestic and worldwide.
(Note: Those released domestically will be bolded)
DOMESTIC
1) Star Wars: Episode VII- $800 million
2) Jurassic World- $645 million
3) Avengers: Age of Ultron- $440 million
4) Hunger Games Mockingjay Part 2- $410 million
5) Minions- $360 million
6) Inside Out- $345 million
7) Fast and Furious 7- $280 million
8) The Good Dinosaur- $270 million
9) Bond 24- $260 million
10) Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation- $170 million

WORLDWIDE
1) Star Wars Episode VII- $2.1 billion
2) Jurassic World- $1.75 billion
3) Avengers: Age of Ultron- $1.5 billion
4) Furious 7- $1.4 billion
5) Minions- $1.05 billion
6) Bond 24- $900 million
7) Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2- $890 million
8) Mission Impossible 5- $750 million
9) Inside Out- $690 million
10) The Good Dinosaur- $620 million
Here’s the gross, by release date. The first figure to each film domestically represents the opening weekend gross, while the second figure represents the end cumulative gross. Dates given are for domestic release date.

(NOTE: BOLDED FILMS BELOW ARE STILL IN RELEASE)

DOMESTIC

JANUARY

January 2nd 2015
Woman in Black 2: Angel of Death- $16 million- $36 million end gross

January 9th 2015
Taken 3- $41 million- $106 million end gross Review
Inherent Vice- $1.4 million- $3.6 million
Selma- $6 million- $29 million end gross

January 16th 2015
Blackhat- $4 million- $9 million end gross
Paddington- $22 million-$61 million end gross Review
The Wedding Ringer- $29 million- $71 million end gross Review
American Sniper- $36 million- $107 million end gross Review
Foxcatcher- $9 million- $24 million end gross

January 23rd 2015
The Boy Next Door- $12 million- $29 million end gross
Mortdecai- $9 million- $24 million end gross
Strange Magic- $6 million- $17 million end gross

January 30th 2015
Black or White- $5 million- $14 million end gross
The Loft- $3.7 million- $8.2 million
Project Almanac- $17 million- $46 million end gross

FEBRUARY

February 6th 2015
SpongeBob SquarePants: Sponge Out of Water- $35 million- $110 million end gross
Seventh Son- $11 million- $25 million end gross
Jupiter Ascending- $24 million- $57 million end gross

February 13th 2015
Fifty Shades of Grey- $69 million- $170 million end gross
Kingsman: Secret Service- $28 million- $75 million end gross

February 20th 2015
Hot Tub Time Machine 2- $16 million- $44 million end gross
DUFF- $8 million- $17 million end gross
McFarland, USA- $13 million- $46 million end gross

February 27th 2015
Focus- $14 million- $35 million end gross
The Lazarus Effect- $9 million- $22 million end gross

MARCH

March 6th 2015
Chappie- $23 million- $66 million end gross
Unfinished Business- $14 million- $36 million end gross

March 13th 2015
Cinderella- $46 million- $135 million end gross
Run All Night- $22 million- $54 million end gross

March 20th 2015
The Divergent Series: Insurgent- $63 million- $166 million end gross
Do You Believe?- $6.2 million- $23 million end gross
The Gunman- $7 million- $18 million end gross

March 27th 2015
Get Hard- $33 million- $78 million end gross
Home- $24 million- $75 million end gross

APRIL

April 3rd 2015
Furious 7- $121 million- $280 million end gross

April 10th 2015
The Longest Ride- $19 million- $56 million end gross

April 17th 2015
Monkey Kingdom- $8 million- $21 million end gross
Unfriended- $24 million- $53 million end gross
Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2- $45 million- $150 million end gross

April 24th 2015
The Age of Adaline- $8 million- $23 million end gross
Little Boy- $6 million- $17 million end gross

MAY

May 1st 2015
Avengers: Age of Ultron- $180 million- $440 million end gross — Click here for problem about superhero movies underperforming

May 8th 2015
Hot Pursuit- $17 million- $53 million end gross

May 15th 2015
Mad Max: Fury Road- $45 million- $127 million end gross Review
Pitch Perfect 2- $26 million- $75 million end gross Review

May 22nd 2015
Tomorrowland- $38 million- $98 million end gross Review
Poltergeist- $29 million- $66 million end gross

May 29th 2015
Aloha- $22 million- $65 million end gross
San Andreas- $31 million- $75 million end gross Review

JUNE
Monthly Results

June 3rd 2015 (5-day weekend gross)
Entourage- $16 million- $35 million end gross

June 5th 2015
Insidious Chapter 3- $26 million- $65 million end gross Review
Spy- $47 million- $156 million end gross

June 12th 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results
Jurassic World- $127 million- $327 million end gross Review

June 19th 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results
Inside Out- $84 million- $295 million end gross

June 26th 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results
Ted 2- $57 million- $177 million end gross
Max- $15 million- $47 million end gross

JULY
Monthly Preview
Monthly Results

July 1st 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results

-Terminator: Genisys-
Estimates: $26 million ($44 million 5-days)- $96 million end gross
Actuals: $27,018,486 ($42,474,183 5-days)- $89,760,956 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -48.8%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 30.1%

-Magic Mike XXL-
Estimates: $28 million ($46 million 5-days)- $103 million end gross
Actuals: $12,857,184 ($27,890,003 5-days)- $66,013,057 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -25.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 19.5%

July 10th 2015  Weekend Preview Weekend Results

-Minions-
Estimates: $131 million- $360 million end gross
Actuals: $115,718,405- $336,045,770 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -57.4%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 34.4%

-The Gallows-
Estimates: $12 million- $28 million end gross
Actuals: $9,808,463- $22,764,410 to date
Second Weekend Dip: 59.1%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 43.1%

-Self/Less-
Estimates: $7 million- $18 million end gross
Actuals: $5,403,460- $12,279,691 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -58.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 44.0%

July 17th 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results

-Trainwreck-
Estimates: $26.5 million- $101 million end gross
Actuals: $30,097,040- $110,038,130 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -42.6%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 27.4%

-Ant-Man- Review
Estimates: $61.5 million- $172 million end gross
Actuals: $57,225,526- $180,202,163 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -56.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 31.8%

July 24th 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results

-Pixels-
Estimates: $44 million- $170 million end gross
Actuals: $24,011,616- $78,747,585 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -56.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 30.5%

-Paper Towns-
Estimates: $31 million- $85 million end gross
Actuals: $12,650,140- $32,000,304 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -63.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 39.5%

-Southpaw-
Estimates: $12 million- $33 million end gross
Actuals: $16,701,294- $52,421,953 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -54.4%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 31.9%

July 29th 2015 (5-day weekend gross) Weekend Preview Weekend Results

-Vacation-
Estimates: $29 million- $88 million end gross
Actuals: $14,681,108 3-days- $58,884,188 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -39.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 24.9%

July 31st 2015

-Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation- Review
Estimates: $61 million- $190 million end gross
Actuals: $55,520,089- $195,042,377 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -48.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 28.5%

AUGUST
This will likely be on par or a bit lower than 2014’s August, due to last year having the one-two punch of Guardians of the Galaxy ($333 million) and Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles ($191 million). This year’s new openings won’t come close, with the month being led solely by Fantastic Four in terms of new openings. Hence, expect July holdovers (Pixels, Paper Towns, Southpaw, Vacation, Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation) to dominate the month.

Full Monthly Preview

August 7th 2015 Weekend Preview Weekend Results

-Fantastic Four-
Estimates: $37 million- $90 million end gross
Actuals: $25,685,737- $56,117,548 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -68.2%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 45.8%

-Ricki and the Flash-
Estimates: $7 million- $23 million end gross
Actuals: $6,610,961- $26,822,144 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -31.1%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 24.6%

-The Gift-
Estimates: $4 million- $14 million end gross
Actuals: $11,854,273- $43,787,265 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -45.1%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 27.1%

-Shaun the Sheep Movie-
Estimates: $5 million- $20 million end gross
Actuals: $4,038,962- $19,375,982 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -28.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 20.8%

August 14th 2015 Weekend Results

-The Man from U.N.C.L.E-
Estimates: $21 million- $59 million end gross
Actuals: $13,421,036- $45,445,109 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -45.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 29.5%

-Straight Outta Compton-
Estimates: $36 million- $95 million end gross
Actuals: $60,200,180- $161,058,685 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -56.2%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 37.4%

August 21st 2015

-Hitman: Agent 47-
Estimates: $8 million- $19 million end gross
Actuals: $8,326,530-$22,467,450 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -49.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 37.1%

-American Ultra-
Estimates: $7 million- $20 million end gross
Actuals: $5,454,284- $14,440,985 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -47.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 37.8%

-Sinister 2-
Estimates: $14 million- $33 million end gross
Actuals: $10,542,116- $27,740,955 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -55.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 38.0%

August 28th 2015

-We are Your Friends-
Estimates: $6 million- $17 million end gross
Actuals: $1,767,308- $3,591,417 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -64.2%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 49.2%

-No Escape- (August 26th 2015 release)
Estimates: $6 million- $13 million end gross
Actuals: $8,111,264 (3-day)- $27,288,872 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -32.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 29.7%

-War Room-
Estimates: $8 million- $29 million end gross
Actuals: $11,351,389- $67,790,117 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -16.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 16.7%

SEPTEMBER
This month brings along with it sequels to two hot properties previously released over the same month (Hotel Transylvania 2 and Maze Runner: Scorched Trials), both which are set to capitalize on their sequel status and propel their grosses higher. That, along with other exciting films (Everest), will definitely give this a shot at one of the bigger Septembers to date.

September 2nd 2015 (5-day weekend gross)

-A Walk in the Woods-
Estimates: $5 million- $14 million end gross
Actuals: $8,246,267- $29,499,394 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -42.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 28.0%

September 4th 2015

-Transporter Refueled-
Estimates: $9 million- $25 million end gross
Actual: $7,355,622- $16,029,670 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -61.6%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 45.9%

September 11th 2015

-Perfect Guy-
Estimates: $9 million- $26 million end gross
Actuals: $25,888,154- $57,017,904 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -62.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 45.4%

-The Visit-
Estimates: $19 million- $50 million end gross
Actuals: $25,427,560- $65,206,105 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -54.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 39.0%

September 18th 2015

-Black Mass-
Estimates: $14 million- $53 million end gross
Actuals: $22,635,037- $62,575,678 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -51.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 36.2%

-Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials-
Estimates: $38 million- $109 million end gross
Actuals: $30,316,510- $81,610,210 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -52.9%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

September 25th 2015

-Hotel Transylvania 2-
Estimates: $49 million- $185 million end gross
Actuals: $48,464,322- $167,803,439 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -31.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 28.9%

-The Green Inferno-
Estimates: $13 million- $37 million end gross
Actuals: $3,520,626- $7,192,291 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -62.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 48.9%

-The Intern-
Estimates: $14 million- $61 million end gross
Actuals: $17,728,313- $75,322,941 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -34.1%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Everest- (Wide Release)
Estimates: $27 million- $91 million end gross
Actuals: $7,222,035 (limited release)- $43,482,270 to date
Second Weekend Dip: +83.4%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 30.5%

OCTOBER
Several sleeper hits that are embedded throughout this month, including The Martian, The Walk, Pan and Goosebumps. Meanwhile, a bump is in stall for the latest Paranormal Activity, which will be the ‘last one ever’. Coupled with strong holdovers from Hotel Transylvania 2, and we are set for a month that is minimally on par with last year’s October (though it could have been bigger if London has Fallen and Frankenstein didn’t retreat)

October 2nd 2015

-The Martian-
Estimates: $47 million- $170 million end gross
Actuals: $54,308,575- $224,969,871 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -31.9%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

October 9th 2015

-Pan-
Estimates: $25 million- $74 million end gross
Actuals: $15,315,435- $34,991,522 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -61.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-The Walk (Nationwide Expansion)-
Estimates: $8 million- $37 million end gross
Actuals: $1,560,299- $10,137,502 to date
Second Weekend Dip: +138%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 36.7%

October 16th 2015

-Bridge of Spies-
Estimates: $17 million- $78 million end gross
Actuals: $15,371,203- $70,286,589 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -26.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Crimson Peak-
Estimates: $23 million- $65 million end gross
Actuals: $13,143,310- $31,090,320 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -56.9%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 42.3%

-Goosebumps-
Estimates: $25 million- $90 million end gross
Actuals: $23,618,556- $78,585,158 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -34.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Steve Jobs-
Estimates: $21 million- $87 million end gross
Actuals: $521,522- $17,766,658 to date
Second Weekend Dip: +190%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 40.0%

October 23rd 2015

-Jem and the Holograms-
Estimates: $5 million- $12 million end gross
Actuals: $1,375,320- $2,184,640 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -71.8%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 63.0%

-The Last Witch Hunter-
Estimates: $14 million- $36 million end gross
Actuals: $10,812,861- $27,359,138 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -52.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Paranormal Activity: The Ghost Dimension-
Estimates: $19 million- $41 million end gross
Actuals: $8,070,493- $18,300,124 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -57.4%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 44.1%

-Rock the Kasbah-
Estimates: $4 million- $9 million end gross
Actuals: $1,470,592- $3,020,664 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -75.9%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 48.7%

October 30th 2015

-Scouts Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse-
Estimates: $4 million- $10 million end gross
Actuals: $1,841,007- $3,703,046 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -66.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 49.7%

-Our Brand Is Crisis-
Estimates: $7 million- $22 million end gross
Actuals: $3,238,422-$7,002,261 end gross
Second Weekend Dip: -56.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 46.2%

-Burnt-
Estimates: $7 million- $20 million end gross
Actuals: $5,002,521- $13,594,261 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -42.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

NOVEMBER
This month’s releases are fall stronger than last year’s, with this month set to be pushed by the final installment of the Hunger Games series, the anticipated sequel to Skyfall, animated favorite Peanuts and Seth Rogen’s next big comedy film, this time ‘well-timed’ for Christmas. To sum up, this month will be a disappointment if it doesn’t at least beat last year’s November monthly gross.

Monthly Results

November 6th 2015

-Spectre-
Estimates: $85 million- $260 million end gross
Actuals: $70,403,148- $196,489,955 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -52.2%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Peanuts-
Estimates: $42 million- $140 million end gross
Actuals: $44,213,073- $127,742,629 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -45.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

November 13th 2015

-The 33-
Estimates: $7 million- $17 million end gross
Actuals: $5,787,266- $11,944,890 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -59.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-My All American-
Estimates: $2 million- $8 million end gross
Actuals: $1,365,000- $2,246,000 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -73.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: 60.8%

-Love the Coopers-
Estimates: $17 million- $68 million end gross
Actuals: $8,317,545- $25,967,985 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -50.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

November 20th 2015

-The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2-
Estimates: $160 million- $410 million end gross
Actuals: $102,665,981- $265,885,848 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -49.7%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-The Secret in their Eyes-
Estimates: $14 million- $47 million end gross
Actuals: $6,652,996-$20,047,288 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -32.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-The Night Before-
Estimates: $21 million- $80 million end gross
Actuals: $9,880,536- $42,800,601 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -17.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

November 25th 2015

-The Good Dinosaur-
Estimates: $79 million- $270 million end gross
Actuals: $39,192,000- $106,619,227 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -60.9%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Creed-
Estimates: $18 million- $65 million end gross
Actuals: $30,120,000- $96,986,653 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -49.4%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Victor Frankenstein-
Estimates: $21 million- $56 million end gross
Actuals: $2,350,000- $5,773,519 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -69.8%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

DECEMBER
Once littered with the likes of Kung fu Panda, Mission: Impossible, Dan Brown’s film adaptation and Warcraft, all those films have all retreated seeking for a more receiving asylum rather than bother contending with the obvious no. 1 film we all know will be tops. For the first time in forever, though, there is going to be a studio wide release- and a really lucrative one, for that matter- releasing on the first weekend of December, so all eyes on that. Apart from that, this month is filled with one behemoth that will probably suck most of the business up (Star Wars), a third sequel for Alvin and the Chipmunks, David O. Rusell’s next film (which of course has J. Law and Brad. Coop.) and a Tina Fey and Amy Poehler comedy, boldly set to launch the day Star Wars: The Force Awakens becomes a ‘sleeper hit’.
Monthly Results

December 4th 2015

-Krampus-
Estimates: $10 million- $28 million end gross
Actuals: $16,293,325- $40,797,410 to date
Second Weekend Dip:-48.3%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

December 11th 2015

-In the Heart of the Sea-
Estimates: $7 million- $23 million end gross
Actuals: $11,053,366- $22,547,171 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -68.5%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

December 18th 2015

-Star Wars: The Force Awakens-
Estimates: $240 million- $800 million end gross
Actuals: $247,966,675- $571,420,943 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -39.8%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Sisters-
Estimates: $15 million- $72 million end gross
Actuals: $13,922,855- $40,431,325 to date
Second Weekend Dip: +1.9%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip-
Estimates: $17 million- $77 million end gross
Actuals: $14,287,159- $43,512,157 to date
Second Weekend Dip: -8.0%
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

December 25th 2015

-Concussion-
Estimates: $9 million- $52 million end gross
Actuals: $10,500,000- $12,175,000 to date
Second Weekend Dip:
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Daddy’s Home-
Estimates: $24 million- $90 million end gross
Actuals: $38,740,203- $45,128,997 to date
Second Weekend Dip:
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Joy-
Estimates: $14 million- $110 million end gross
Actuals: $17,015,168- $19,629,127 to date
Second Weekend Dip:
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

-Point Break-
Estimates: $16 million- $75 million end gross
Actuals: $9,805,000- $11,285,000 to date
Second Weekend Dip:
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total:

December 30th 2015

-Hateful Eight-
Estimates: $20 million- $90 million end gross
Actuals:
Second Weekend Dip:
Opening Weekend Percentage of Total: