Box Office Forecast: Samurais, Bieber, Old Boxers, Wall Street and Walter Mitty take on Middle Earth and Ron Burgundy

Finally Christmas is here, which also means that the year is fast coming to an end. As everyone makes preparations for the new year, the movie studios rush out their last few films of the year. This year is no different, and to capitalize on the holiday season, 5 films are set to clash in theaters over the weekend- 47 Ronin into over 2600 theaters, Believe into a 1000 theaters, Grudge Match into over 2750 theaters, Secret Life of Walter Mitty into 3000 theaters and Wolf of Wall Street into 2400. Last year was a bit quieter, with Hobbit scoring first with over $31.9 million, Django Unchained with over $30 million, Les Miserables with over $27 million, and Parental Guidance opening with $14.55 million.

47 ronin
47 RONIN
FACEBOOK: 273,516 likes
TWITTER: 2053 followers
ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORE: 15% from 13 reviews
ROTTEN TOMATOES ANTICIPATION LEVEL: 95% from 24,455 votes
BOX OFFICE PREDICTION: $7 million 3-days, $13 million 5-days

47 Ronin is entering the weekend after a limited engagement in foreign territories, which actually turned out to be rather mixed. 47 Ronin launched in Japan first, and turned out be a major disappointment, only managing to bring in $1 million over opening weekend for a current cume of $2.9 million in that territory. Reviews have been disastrous at the very least, with a 15% rating from 13 reviews. All these bode really badly for the film’s potential, considering the film was actually packed full of Japanese actors and was set there either. With all these in mind, it is worth noting that Keanu Reeves has not really been in the public’s eye for quite some time, and his fan power has not been assured. With all these said, and a reported eye popping figure close to $225 million, it is quite apparent that this film will be one of the major flops of the year. With criticism put aside, films supposedly start slower on Christmas and have long legs through new year. With all these in mind, I am currently predicting a disappointing $7 million for the 3-day period and $13 million for the full 5 day period.

believe
BELIEVE
FACEBOOK: 2,963,531 likes
TWITTER: 457,248 followers
ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORE: NIL
ROTTEN TOMATOES ANTICIPATION LEVEL: 32% from 5,403 votes
BOX OFFICE PREDICTION: $5 million 3-days, $11 million 5-days

Believe would be the second concert movie Justin Bieber releases, probably the first for a pop star (this decade at least). However, things have changed since his previous film, Never Say Never, opened with $29 million for a end gross of $73 million back in 2011. Back then, Justin Bieber had released several hits, including Baby, which ended up giving him lots of attention. However, his work has been criticized, and with a lot of less appealing songs recently, Justin Bieber might be going through a time of downs and little ups. That can also be seen from his concert tour, where he had several problems (some self-afflicted). Concert movies have also been seeing a decline in popularity, with the most recent one, One Direction: This is Us only opening to $15.8 million en-route to a final gross of $28.9 million. One Direction is definitely much more popular than Justin Bieber at this moment, so I am currently predicting a 3 day opening in the range of $5 million and a 5-day opening in the range of $11 million.

grudge match
GRUDGE MATCH
FACEBOOK: 113,267 likes
TWITTER: NIL
ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORE: 27% from 15 reviews
ROTTEN TOMATOES ANTICIPATION LEVEL: 92% from 14,058 votes
BOX OFFICE PREDICTION: $12 million 3-days, $20 million 5-days

The very fact that Sylvester Stallone and Robert DeNiro are facing off against each other in boxing will already appeal to all kinds of adults.

Grudge Match, as mentioned, stars two old stars which are really popular to the older generations. However, two things that will stop this film from breaking out: the fact that older people do not rush out to watch a film on opening weekend, and bad reviews- from 15 reviews, the film currently scores a 27% score on rotten tomatoes. One more thing to note- both main stars have little star attracting power left, evident with the countless amount of flops Sylvester Stallone has this year so far, and the slightly better year which Robert DeNiro had (considering he had other famed stars in the film)

I am currently expecting a current gross in the ballpark of $12 million for the 3-day weekend, and $20 million for the full 5-day holiday season.

wolf of wall street
WOLF OF WALL STREET
FACEBOOK: 87,141 likes
TWITTER: 8,983 followers
ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORE: 83% from 69 reviews
ROTTEN TOMATOES ANTICIPATION LEVEL: 98% from 38,976 votes
BOX OFFICE PREDICTION: $23 million 3-days, $41 million 5-days

Leonardo DiCaprio managed to bring Great Gatsby to a grand opening of $50 million en-route to an end gross of $144 million. And he is back.

Wolf of Wall Street is one of the year’s Oscar contenders (last we heard), with a strong supporting cast with the likes of Leonardo DiCaprio, Jonah Hill, Matthew McConaughey, Margot Robbie, Kyle Chandler, Jon Bernthal, Jon Favreau, Shea Whigham, Rob Reiner and Jean Dujardin. Reviews are definitely promising, with a 83% from 69 reviews. Older people will definitely treat this as either their number 1 or 2 film this weekend, alongside Grudge Match, due to their familiarity of this real life story (most probably). However, the 3 hours run time of the show will limit showings of the film, which will slightly tamper this film’s opening. Wolf of Wall Street has a strong marketing going in it’s favor, which definitely bodes well for the prospects of the film. With everything said, I am currently predicting an opening of around $23 million and a 5-day gross of $41 million.

secret life of walter mitty
SECRET LIFE OF WALTER MITTY:
FACEBOOK: 185,669 likes
TWITTER: 21,157 followers
ROTTEN TOMATOES SCORE: 46% from 59 reviews
ROTTEN TOMATOES ANTICIPATION LEVEL: 95% from 19,018 votes
BOX OFFICE PREDICTION: $16 million 3-day, $27 million 5-days

Secret Life of Walter Mitty is directed and stars Ben Stiller, who performs double duty in this film full of wonders. Except, he can’t really make the film well-liked by critics- the film currently has a 46% rating from 59 reviews on rotten tomatoes at the moment. The trailers might be full of wonderful adventures, but it is definitely messy and confusing at times. Children might rush out at the prospects of the film, but this film will most likely be another victim of Frozen this weekend, which is once again expected to get into the top 3. Therefore, I am currently expecting $16 million for the 3 day period, and $27 million for the full 5-day weekend.

With that, here is the top 10 estimates:
1)Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug- $25 million
2)Wolf of Wall Street- $23 million ($41 million 5-days)
3)Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues- $21 million
4)Frozen- $20 million
5)American Hustle- $18.4 million
6)Secret Life of Walter Mitty- $16 million ($27 million 5-days)
7)Grudge Match- $12 million ($20 million 5-days)

8)Saving Mr Banks- $9.1 million
9)Tyler Perry’s A Made’s Christmas- $7.5 million
10)Hunger Games: Catching Fire- $7.3 million
-)Believe- $9 million ($17 million 5-days)
-)47 Ronin- $7 million ($13 million 3-days)
That’s all for now. See ya next time, as we look back at the year as a whole! Merry Christmas, and Happy (upcoming) New Year!

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