It’s that time of year yet again where the year is coming to a close, and Christmas is around the corner. This period of November and December have successfully proven itself to be a lucrative period for not only award contenders and big franchises. This year is no different, though December will be noticeably softer than previous years. This post will specialise in just the top 10 films of the holiday season this year. For more details on individual films, you can either check out the monthly preview or weekly box office forecast, with the former coming soon and the latter coming less than a week before the film’s release. Before starting, here is the list of movies releasing over the period of time-
(NOTE: DATES REFLECTED BELOW ARE ONLY FOR NATIONWIDE RELEASES OR EXPANSIONS)
Nov 1- Ender’s Game, Free Birds, Last Vegas
Nov 8- Thor: The Dark World, About Time
Nov 15- The Best Man Holiday, The Wolf of Wall Street
Nov 22- Delivery Man, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
November 27- Frozen
Nov 29- Black Nativity, Frozen, Homefront, Oldboy, Philomena
Dec 6- Out of the Furnace
Dec 13- The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas
Dec 18- The Monuments Men
Dec 20- Anchorman: The Legend Continues, Walking With Dinosaurs, Inside Llewyn Davis, Saving Mr Banks
Dec 25- 47 Ronin, Believe, Grudge Match, Jack Ryan, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty, American Hustle, Labor Day, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Now, on to the top 10 predictions domestically! Remember to comment below with your own predictions so that I know what you’re thinking! Also like our facebook page for the latest updates.
1) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
This is the most obvious and probable winner of the whole season. One of the most popular young adult series that rivals the likes of Twilight, the previous films’s domestic gross, also the first in the series, managed to earn more than any Twilight and Harry Potter film domestically. Buzz is high, and goodwill is great, and with a boost from international markets most likely coming, this film should at least fall even domestically, and add on overseas. Overall, this film should at least become yet another hit for Lionsgate, who is somewhat having a great year.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $430 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $500 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $930 MILLION
2) The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
This film comes after a lukewarm reception for the first film, with criticism ranging from issues over 1 book being divided into three films, but the first film seems to have worked out. However, I am currently predicting a drop in domestic grosses, as it would be tough to expect this film to actually add upon the first film’s domestic gross. Bringing back some characters from the original Lord of the Rings movies is indeed a great plan, and allowing Benedict Cumberbatch to voice Smaug is yet another incentive for moviegoers to catch this. Overall, expect this to increase maybe slightly, due to international reception, or stay even.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $260 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $780 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $1.04 BILLION
3) Thor: The Dark World
The first film could not reach the level of Iron Man, but as like Iron Man, the characters, especially Thor and Loki, have been well-liked by moviegoers. The Avengers team-up movie also helped to increase awareness of the character, and that helped to give a dramatic jump in earnings for Iron Man 3 earlier this year. Thor weren’t have to fend off other comic book movies or big blockbusters or face a threat during it’s run, which would be good news for the film. Domestically, the film should be in for a boost, though not as much as the one Iron Man 3 got, and the same thing should be seen internationally.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $250 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $520 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $770 MILLION
This is the most anticipated animated movie coming out this holiday season, and this film really looks like it can perform in line with past Disney animated hits like Tangled. This, however, doesn’t seem to be having the same amount of prestige, and unless this film is really good, expect this film to bring in no more than $150 million domestically.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $150 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $320 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $470 MILLION
5) Jack Ryan
There has been a total lack of spy action movies this year. Apart from A Good Day to Die Hard, which wasn’t even good or attractive to start with. That will leave genre fans hungrily waiting for this film, as there doesn’t seem to be any spy movies coming out till at least 2015. Chris Pine’s status is on the rise over the past few years, with appearances in franchises like Star Trek and other romance fares etc. It would be unreasonable to expect a series from Tom Clancy to perform that badly, but it would also be unrealistic for it to perform in line with the bigger franchises. Maybe a gross in the range of $100 million domestically is a possibility.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $130 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $250 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $380 MILLION
6) Walking With Dinosaurs
I can’t deny that the film is indeed attractive, and recreates the experience of living in the world of dinosaurs, which makes this the only family friendly film in around a month. This will be children’s choice during the packed Christmas period, so expect this film to be bigger than expected. I am capping it at around $100 million.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $105 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $110 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $215 MILLION
7) Ender’s Game
Ender’s Game is based on yet another bestseller, but this one is different- it contains a cast that contains the likes of Ben Kingsley and Harrison Ford. The trailers have overemphasized them, though, but fans of the book should turn out in force. Overall, expect a modest performance for this one.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $100 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $210 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $310 MILLION
8) The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
If you have watched the marketing for this film, the potential is already there for it to outperform with it’s amazing concept. Reviews might be bad, and marketing might be confusing, but as long as moviegoers find this a special film, they will go catch it.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $95 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $140 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $235 MILLION
9) American Hustle
Last year, Silver Linings Playbook wasn’t well received at first by moviegoers.. not because no one liked it, rather because no one knew about it. It became a totally different story and became a $100 million sensation. American Hustle would have to do a lot to get to that number, but with a cast which is much better known, this film might still match that one. Overall though, I am predicting a dip from that film.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $90 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $110 MILLION
WORLDWIDE TOTAL: $200 MILLION
10) Anchorman: The Legend Continues
At least the first film was well received, allowing this group of comedy veterans to come back once again for yet another round of comedy. This seems a little old-school, but as seen with Grown Ups 2, even despised comedies can still do well at the box office. This film started it’s marketing long ago, which shows the confidence on this film. Overall, a match domestically would be good enough for this film.
DOMESTIC TOTAL: $90 MILLION
OVERSEAS TOTAL: $50 MILLION
WORLDWIDe TOTAL: $140 MILLION