Fall 2013 Box Office Preview

Summer 2013 will end with a bang, when the last weekend of August arrives, and the quieter months of the year will once again set in, ending the box office hurrah. Historically known as one of the quietest months of the year, business will pick up gradually when November arrives. This post will only focus on both September and October, and November will be covered in a separate post, which will be up here late October. Meanwhile, this is just a brief introduction to what I think will be the top 10 films within the two months domestically- not every film will be covered here. Meanwhile, more detailed forecasts will be presented in the weekly box office forecasts, as well as the monthly previews. Before starting, here are the list of movies opening wide in September and October:
SEPTEMBER: Riddick, The Family, Insidious Chapter 2, Battle of the Year, Prisoners, Baggage Claim, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2, Don Jon, Rush
OCTOBER: Gravity, Runner Runner, Captain Phillips, Machete Kills, Carrie, Escape Plan, The Counselor, Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Now, here are the top 10 films (these are just predictions)! Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below either!
cloudy 2
1) Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
The first film was a critical success, becoming a big success story in what is always one of the quietest months of the year, and earning the biggest start of the month, until Hotel Translyvania came. That first film earned over $120 million domestically, and with an expanding international market, along with a lot of audience awareness this time round, audience should be prime for this film by then, with lack of animated films then.
Domestic Total: $150 million
Worldwide Total: $330 million

Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

2) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The first three films were big success stories domestically, always improving on the previous film’s gross. The third film became the first one to earn more than $100 million domestically, and with 3 years of buzz building up, this popular franchise should continue improving on it’s predecessor. Add in the fact that the trailer has been really well-received, and this film should be one of the biggest in a quiet season.
Domestic Total: $120 million
Worldwide Total: $200 million

Gravity
Gravity

3) Gravity
With a star-studded cast consisting of Sandra Bullock and George Clooney, this film is a must to see, especially since it is prime for awards season, and Warner Bros is marketing the hell out of it. Add in the fact that screenings at film festivals have been well received, and that the studio is also treating this film as the next ‘Argo’, this film should perform in line with it, considering it really is well-received by critics.
Domestic Total: $110 million
Worldwide Total: $220 million

4) Insidious Chapter 2
Director James Wan is enjoying his prime moment at the box office, and those horror enthusiasts who checked out The Conjuring would definitely want to check it out. James Wan has a larger fanbase now, considering this film is fresh off the success of The Conjuring. This film should quite a boost from the first film, but will definitely not hit the amount The Conjuring earned, due to this being a less known property.
Domestic Total: $85 million
Worldwide Total: $165 million

The Counselor
The Counselor

5) The Counselor
A really large star-studded cast, along with a well known director in the name of Ridley Scott is good enough to propel this film to great heights. But add in the fact that this film is a potential awards contender, and this is going to be a success. I definitely have huge sights for this one.
Domestic Total: $80 million
Worldwide Total: $200 million

Prisoners
Prisoners

6) Prisoners
Yet another film with a star-studded cast, but adding in it’s great trailers, strong appeal and once again potential awards recognition, this film still has a chance to shine in a crowded market.
Domestic Total: $75 million
Worldwide Total: $155 million

7) Carrie (tie)
Based on a well known property by Stephen King, this film is based on that, but with a lack of competition, unless you put in the Insidious sequel, this film really should grab lots of money, for being the last horror film of the year.
Domestic Total: $70 million
Worldwide Total: $150 million

Captain Phillips
Captain Phillips

7) Captain Phillips (tie)
Also benefiting from a lot of awards recognition, this film benefits from being based on a true story, as well as Tom Hanks. With practically great marketing so far, this film is prime to be a success.
Domestic Total: $70 million
Worldwide Total: $130 million

Riddick
Riddick

7) Riddick (tie)
The third film in the trilogy does not have much film to go against, and add in the fact that the first two films have improved on each other, this film is prime to be the same. However, a 9 years wait is too long, and some fans of the franchise might have already moved on to other films. However, it would be a shame for this film to not at least earn more than the second film, considering it has IMAX, 3D and ticket price inflation in it’s favour.
Domestic Total: $70 million
Worldwide Total: $190 million

Runner Runner
Runner Runner

10) Runner Runner
This film has two of Hollywood’s hottest stars right now, Justin Timberlake and Ben Affleck. Ben Affleck is most likely the more famous individual, having snagged a best picture win for Argo a year earlier. However, this film is not helmed by him, and also has practically no awards recognition, that we think that this film will just perform like an average October film.
Domestic Total: $60 million
Worldwide Total: $125 million

That’s all for now! Remember to check back again for more of such posts, including the weekly box office forecast and the monthly previews! Meanwhile, like our facebook page if you would like to keep updated on the latest news and posts first! Check back at this space again!

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